Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.029242 0.034027 0.039296 0.045520 0.052665 0.060601 0.070078
2025-10-12 0.022786 0.029197 0.036903 0.046816 0.059200 0.074125 0.093442
2025-10-19 0.017326 0.024174 0.033063 0.045380 0.061931 0.083316 0.112941
2025-10-26 0.013829 0.020812 0.030515 0.044867 0.065412 0.093598 0.134990
2025-11-02 0.011031 0.017788 0.027778 0.043447 0.067189 0.101541 0.154649
2025-11-09 0.009015 0.015489 0.025614 0.042365 0.069076 0.109608 0.175207
2025-11-16 0.007668 0.013962 0.024326 0.042317 0.072355 0.119921 0.200102
2025-11-23 0.006407 0.012329 0.022569 0.041177 0.073617 0.127074 0.220668
2025-11-30 0.005850 0.011827 0.022620 0.043038 0.080010 0.143094 0.257250
2025-12-07 0.005127 0.010882 0.021726 0.043065 0.083158 0.153913 0.286091
2025-12-14 0.004351 0.009693 0.020191 0.041665 0.083498 0.159791 0.306794
2025-12-21 0.003803 0.008865 0.019217 0.041173 0.085410 0.168588 0.333504
2025-12-28 0.003590 0.008730 0.019630 0.043534 0.093199 0.189213 0.384585
2026-01-04 0.003321 0.008424 0.019644 0.045077 0.099554 0.207792 0.433724
2026-01-11 0.002866 0.007603 0.018428 0.043840 0.100045 0.214968 0.461340
2026-01-18 0.002534 0.007015 0.017639 0.043417 0.102180 0.225614 0.496922
2026-01-25 0.002190 0.006331 0.016520 0.042077 0.102130 0.231715 0.523713
2026-02-01 0.001912 0.005765 0.015592 0.041045 0.102619 0.238957 0.553553
2026-02-08 0.001722 0.005402 0.015107 0.041008 0.105377 0.251342 0.595606
2026-02-15 0.001506 0.004921 0.014245 0.039905 0.105463 0.257780 0.625117
2026-02-22 0.001439 0.004869 0.014505 0.041714 0.112846 0.281485 0.695757
2026-03-01 0.001308 0.004591 0.014110 0.041742 0.115783 0.295151 0.744549
2026-03-08 0.001142 0.004171 0.013250 0.040383 0.115006 0.299938 0.772946